I want to add to this a little something about where we are and what our road to the finals looks like from here on.
We want to win all our remaining games
Our opponents for the rest of the season are Zerocraft, FaDe and Fusion Slugs. Zerocraft are sitting above us on the ladder so the win is probably the most crucial (reason below). FaDe are hot on our heels and a win here will give us some much needed distance between us and 7th spot. It's not enough to guarantee a top 5 finish (assuming finals will in fact be top 5)
No matter how well we play, we can't guarantee a top 5 finish
That is, even if we win all our games, we can still place 6th. It requires strong showings from Krrn & Co, AsG and Zerocraft to do so - they all need to beat the higher placed teams QED Mixed Lollies and TA, while Mixed Lollies and TA have to also beat their other opponents outside the top 5. This scenario is unlikely, but it's also reliant on us winning all matches, which will be a tough road, so we can't exactly breathe easy.
We want league leaders to keep winning
3 of TA's 4 remaining matches are against teams above us on the ladder. The more the nearly uncatchable TA wins, the more points the current 3rd-5th placed teams miss out on, and the more likely we are to pip them at the post. QED also plays an important match against fellow QEDers Krrn & co - we want Mixed Lollies to take them out of course. If TA and Mixed Lollies both beat Krrn and we win all our games, we are through
TCP might be the most important team in the competition for us
If TCP, fresh from a bye this week, can topple both QED Krrn & Co and AsG, we will be in a strong position. TCP are due some wins on the board and we definitely need to get behind them to do so!
ZeroCraft vs AsG is awesome, no matter what
Current 3rd and 4th placed teams ZC and AsG are sitting even currently (pending the outcome of the currently 2-2 ZC match this week). Only one can win, which means one of them must necessarily have a blemish in their record. If the team that loses that match also loses another, that puts us in a strong position as long as we can win all our matches. If ZC wins their in progress game, we definitely want them to lose this match, but either way if we win all our matches, we force BOTH ZC and AsG to win all their matches to stay safe.
So there we have it. We can only give it our best and we are still in a tight spot. By no means are we out of contention if we drop our match vs ZeroCraft next week, but the difficulty increases and we will rely more on others' results. So cheer TA & QED Mixed Lollies, cheer TCP, and most importantly, play hard
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Last edited by breadfan; Tue, 6th-Mar-2012 at 12:42 PM.
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